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Can macroeconomic variables predict China’s stock market returns ? Evidence using Cointegration approach

. Dr.K.Priya, Dr.R.Arulmoli and Dr.B.Premkumar


Abstract

This study aims to investigate the effect of macroeconomic variables on the stock market in China. This study uses monthly data from January2001: December 2019.Johansen Cointergration test is employed to examine the long run relationship of macroeconomic variables namely inflation, interest rate, GDP, money supply, gold price, oil price and exchange rates. The estimation results indicate a long run relationship exists  between the stock market and the selected macroeconomic variables.

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