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The Russian Strategic Calculation: Geopolitics Dynamics and Domestic Challenges during the Ukraine Crisis

. Adil Ahmad & Ayesha Shafqat


Abstract

The Russia-Ukraine conflict has significantly affected Russia’s strategic calculations, influencing its geopolitical dynamics and domestic concerns. A network of power struggles and historical legacies contributes to Russia’s careful maneuvering during the crisis. Concurrently, internal challenges play a crucial role in shaping Russia’s strategy. Public opinion, influenced by state-controlled media and nationalist sentiment, has become a key factor in the Russian government’s decisions and actions. Balancing domestic expectations to protect ethnic Russians abroad with the potential economic and political repercussions of escalating conflict presents a formidable challenge for Russian policymakers. The paper explores the domestic factors, such as economic pressures, political stability and public opinion that influence and constrain Russia's decision-making processes. The analysis highlights the balancing act Russia faces between asserting its influence on the global stage and addressing internal socio-political and economic issues. Through the review of policy documents and expert analyses, the research provides an understanding of how Russia deals its dual challenges of maintaining domestic stability while projecting power in the international arena. The conclusion contribute to the broader discourse on international relations and conflict resolution, offering insights into the complexities of state behavior in the time of crisis.

Key Words: Geopolitical Dynamics, Historical Legacy, Domestic Challenges, Economic Challenges, Public Opinion, Nationalist Sentiments.

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